08/30/2021 Toby Dayton

Labor Demand in Goods Producing Industries Outpacing Labor Demand in Service Industries

We’ll post updated charts later this week when we get our data for August, but we wanted to post the two charts below that show total (below) and new job openings (bottom) in goods and services industries between January 2020 and July 2021.

As the first chart below for total job openings shows, between May and November last year, labor demand in services industries rose faster immediately following the decimation of Q2 ’21 than goods-producing industries. But beginning last November, labor demand in goods-producing industries started outpacing labor demand in services industries. In fact, the former has risen 60% while the latter has risen just over 40%.

 

 

Dividing employers across the economy in the same way but looking just at new job openings provides some additional insights into labor demand since the pandemic began roughly 18 months ago. New job openings in goods and services industries tracked closely to each other between May and November of last year, but then diverged even more sharply than the previous chart.

Highly noteworthy, however, is that new job postings in goods industries have remained essentially flat since the first of the year. And in services industries, new job postings were flat between March and June of this year before jumping again in July.

 

 

Again, we’ll post updated charts with data for August later this week (late Wednesday night) in our Non-Farm Payroll forecast for August.